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Methodology

How we build our data

Transparency is core to getCourage. This page explains our data sources, processing pipeline, confidence tiers, and AI risk methodology.

Salary data sources

CountrySourceFrequencyTier
United StatesH1B LCA filings + BLS OEWSQuarterly / AnnualDIRECT
United KingdomONS ASHE (SOC 4-digit)AnnualDIRECT
GermanyDestatis + Entgeltatlas (KldB 5-digit)AnnualDIRECT
SwitzerlandBFS Salarium (ISCO 3-digit)BiennialSUPPORTED
NetherlandsCBS StatLine (ISCO 2-3 digit)AnnualSUPPORTED
FranceRecruitment guides (Robert Half, Hays)AnnualINFERRED

Confidence tiers

Every data point in getCourage is assigned one of four confidence tiers. This lets you judge how much weight to give each number.

DIRECT

Data comes from a primary official source (e.g., H1B filings, BLS surveys). Highest reliability.

SUPPORTED

Data is cross-validated from multiple independent sources that agree within acceptable variance.

INFERRED

Calculated from proxy indicators (e.g., country multipliers applied to a known baseline). Transparent methodology.

ESTIMATED

Model-based projection where direct data is unavailable. Clearly marked and used sparingly.

Skill demand analysis

Skill demand frequencies come from analysis of 5,099 real job postings collected via the Adzuna API, Arbeitnow, and Remotive. We map each posting to our standardized skill taxonomy (based on ESCO and O*NET) and count mention frequency per role.

Skills are ranked by their salary impact — the correlation between skill presence and compensation level within each role. This helps identify which skills to prioritize for maximum career return.

AI automation risk score

The composite AI exposure score combines three peer-reviewed research indices:

  • Eloundou et al. (2023) — 50% weight. GPT-4 exposure scores for occupations based on task-level analysis.
  • Microsoft Research (2023) — 30% weight. Occupation-level AI impact assessment considering complementarity.
  • Felten et al. (2023) — 20% weight. AI occupational impact based on AI capability benchmarks.

At the skill level, each skill is classified into one of four resilience categories:

  • Amplifier — AI makes this skill more valuable (e.g., Python, statistics)
  • Resistant — Difficult to automate, retains value (e.g., system design, leadership)
  • Vulnerable — At risk of automation (e.g., basic data entry, routine testing)
  • Neutral — Minimal AI impact in either direction

Career transition paths

We model 240 directional career transition paths (16 roles × 15 targets). Each path is derived from O*NET skill adjacency data, expert knowledge, and similarity analysis across role skill profiles.

Timeline estimates are based on skill gap size and learning complexity. As users report actual transitions, these estimates will be refined with real-world data.